We should keep an eye on Ernesto…

Newly-upgraded Hurricane Ernesto could end up posing a real problem for us in Charleston. Check out this forecast map — if this holds true, at 8AM Friday we’ll be on the north side of what probably will be a 65 MPH tropical storm. Minimal storm surge and heavy rain FTF. Then again, you never really know sometimes. Dr. Jeff Masters at Weather Underground has an excellent analysis of Ernesto.

UPDATE: The Hurricane Center has downgraded Ernesto to a tropical storm. Also of note, the latest forecast track now calls for a second U.S. landfall at — guess where? Charleston. It’ll be a fairly weak tropical storm at that point, but that doesn’t mean it won’t drop a ton of rain. Also note how much room for error they’re giving the track (the giant swath of highlighted areas) — as with any storm, this definitely isn’t set in stone.

  • http://toppetitemodel.blogspot.com Miss Meghann

    Yikes — OK, so I spilled some Diet Coke on my touchpad; having some mouse problems at the moment. I apologize!

    This is what that should’ve said:

    Hey, Jared!
    Thanks for stopping by my blog/commenting :) I’m sorry to hear about your car!
    Mine is fine at the moment — engine light still on, I have an appointment for it on Tuesday.

    I’m becoming increasingly concerned about Ernesto, as well, especially when my mum sends me countless links/warnings about it…. Also, I think it’s funny that there is a weather site out there called “Weather Underground” – it messes up my Google Alerts when I’m trying to keep track of updates on the Weather Underground group. As far as streets which flood worst, everyone keeps telling me that Smith and Radcliffe (by me!) is the worst and I’ve also seen some crazy stuff happen up by Gadsden (sp?) by Calhoun…

  • http://toppetitemodel.blogspot.com Miss Meghann

    Yikes — OK, so I spilled some Diet Coke on my touchpad; having some mouse problems at the moment. I apologize!

    This is what that should’ve said:

    Hey, Jared!
    Thanks for stopping by my blog/commenting :) I’m sorry to hear about your car!
    Mine is fine at the moment — engine light still on, I have an appointment for it on Tuesday.

    I’m becoming increasingly concerned about Ernesto, as well, especially when my mum sends me countless links/warnings about it…. Also, I think it’s funny that there is a weather site out there called “Weather Underground” – it messes up my Google Alerts when I’m trying to keep track of updates on the Weather Underground group. As far as streets which flood worst, everyone keeps telling me that Smith and Radcliffe (by me!) is the worst and I’ve also seen some crazy stuff happen up by Gadsden (sp?) by Calhoun…

  • http://www.jaredwsmith.com Jared Smith

    Hi Meghann, thanks for stopping by. :) I fixed the aborted post, no worries there. :)

    Smith and Radcliffe are bad, but I think Smith and Vanderhorst takes the cake as among the worst. It becomes nearly impassable very quickly. Ogier St. (near MUSC, just off Calhoun) was incredibly bad on Thursday, as well. I live on a part of Ashley that goes underwater pretty much anytime there’s a storm of any consequence, and it was horrific Thursday. I lived on Felix St. for two years until recently and the corner of Felix and Morris would go under in a hurry. Morris west of Coming is bad in general; with all the massive development of new apartments and condos that way, the flooding will only get worse. I had on-street parking for my two years on Felix, and I must say it was a challenge to get a good spot that was up the road a bit, away from that corner.

    One thing to keep in mind about Ernesto is that the cone of uncertainty is massive, so there’s no telling where it will end up. Is it time to panic? No. Is it time to start preparing? Sure — it couldn’t hurt. Even if it jogs well east of here, it doesn’t hurt to have prepared a bit.

    That’s quite funny about your Google Alerts — can’t say I’ve ever heard of that feature until now. I wonder if you can modify your alert search to exclude everything from the wunderground.com domain. It may be worth a shot.

    J

  • http://www.jaredwsmith.com Jared Smith

    Hi Meghann, thanks for stopping by. :) I fixed the aborted post, no worries there. :)

    Smith and Radcliffe are bad, but I think Smith and Vanderhorst takes the cake as among the worst. It becomes nearly impassable very quickly. Ogier St. (near MUSC, just off Calhoun) was incredibly bad on Thursday, as well. I live on a part of Ashley that goes underwater pretty much anytime there’s a storm of any consequence, and it was horrific Thursday. I lived on Felix St. for two years until recently and the corner of Felix and Morris would go under in a hurry. Morris west of Coming is bad in general; with all the massive development of new apartments and condos that way, the flooding will only get worse. I had on-street parking for my two years on Felix, and I must say it was a challenge to get a good spot that was up the road a bit, away from that corner.

    One thing to keep in mind about Ernesto is that the cone of uncertainty is massive, so there’s no telling where it will end up. Is it time to panic? No. Is it time to start preparing? Sure — it couldn’t hurt. Even if it jogs well east of here, it doesn’t hurt to have prepared a bit.

    That’s quite funny about your Google Alerts — can’t say I’ve ever heard of that feature until now. I wonder if you can modify your alert search to exclude everything from the wunderground.com domain. It may be worth a shot.

    J

  • http://toppetitemodel.blogspot.com Miss Meghann

    Unfortunately, I’ve tried!!

    I just don’t think the technology is up to it yet — basically all you’re really able to control yourself is the search phrase and frequency of updates/searches. Bummer.

    But being able to get frequent e-mail updates about the WUO, though few and far between, is quite stellar, so I’m sticking with the alerts…

    :)

  • http://toppetitemodel.blogspot.com Miss Meghann

    Unfortunately, I’ve tried!!

    I just don’t think the technology is up to it yet — basically all you’re really able to control yourself is the search phrase and frequency of updates/searches. Bummer.

    But being able to get frequent e-mail updates about the WUO, though few and far between, is quite stellar, so I’m sticking with the alerts…

    :)

  • http://www.jaredwsmith.com Jared Smith

    I was playing around a bit, and it seems you can exclude sites within the search query! Check this out:

    “weather underground” -site:weatherunderground.com -site:wunderground.com

    Put that into Google and it’ll exclude everything from the Weather Underground websites. Perhaps that may help to refine your alerts a little. :)

  • http://www.jaredwsmith.com Jared Smith

    I was playing around a bit, and it seems you can exclude sites within the search query! Check this out:

    “weather underground” -site:weatherunderground.com -site:wunderground.com

    Put that into Google and it’ll exclude everything from the Weather Underground websites. Perhaps that may help to refine your alerts a little. :)

  • http://toppetitemodel.blogspot.com Miss Meghann

    WOW.

    A perfect stranger has just figured something amazing out for me. Thank you!!
    (PS: I’m not a total ditz, I promise, it’s just that the English major in me rarely has the attention span to figure out these sorts of things…)

    Thanks!

  • http://toppetitemodel.blogspot.com Miss Meghann

    WOW.

    A perfect stranger has just figured something amazing out for me. Thank you!!
    (PS: I’m not a total ditz, I promise, it’s just that the English major in me rarely has the attention span to figure out these sorts of things…)

    Thanks!