Tropical Depression 6 formed today at around 5PM. From the Hurricane Center:
…DEPRESSION FAR OUT IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC…
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 40.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1395
MILES…2245 KM…EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
Here’s the map, which at first glance appears fairly ominous for the East Coast…
This one definitely bears watching, but it’s important to note the amount of variance there is in the track, and that it’s very early in the game and a lot can and probably will change. The forecast discussion takes it to being about an 85 MPH hurricane in three or four days or so. While the sea surface temperatures will not be inhibiting to development, the moderate shear in the atmosphere is expected to keep the lid on this one blossoming, at least for the foreseeable future. I, personally, wouldn’t rule out this becoming a fairly potent hurricane in the coming days. We all should keep an eye on it — as I’m sure you all have come to expect, I most certainly will…;)