11PM seems to bring along those eastward jogs we all like

The 11PM full advisory is in, with a heavily revised forecast track that takes Ernesto’s center much further from Charleston than predicted and shows a landfalling tropical storm in Myrtle Beach. Check out the map:

11PM forecast track for T.S. Ernesto, courtesy NOAA.

This is going to have a big impact, in a very positive way, on tides and the wind swath we can expect in Charleston. Local news is starting and I’m watching now to gather the reaction from the local meteorologists. I still expect flooding rains but this is a much improved prognosis. Let’s see if it holds overnight.

Ernesto is still a 35 MPH depression that’s just emerged off the Space Coast and is making its final trek northward.