I Am Gustav, Hear Me Roar (At 60 MPH)

Well, Invest 94 took its sweet time to get going, but once it got going…holy cow. Enter Gustav, which was Tropical Depression Seven at 11am and then blossomed quickly to a 60 MPH tropical storm by 5pm. Like Fay before it, Gustav is expected to rake Hispaniola and Cuba — though this time as a minimal hurricane — with more rain and wind. Thereafter, it gets questionable; some models take it south into the Yucatan, but others take it close to Florida (as if they need anything more) and eventually into the Gulf. The Hurricane Center, so far, favors the more northward trajectory, though there is significant model agreement about the southward trajectory. Like with Fay, time will tell, and it’s going to be interesting to see how the steering sets up later into the week. Unlike Fay, though, no models have pegged Charleston as a primary target of the storm, but that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t watch it. The models have been awfully funky with 94 and weren’t the most reliable with Fay, as we all witnessed.