If these model runs are any indication (and they should not be taken as gospel), it looks like Bonnie will just be another Alex retread (at least in terms of path; intensity is very hard to tell but it doesn’t look like it will have nearly the time to get it together as Alex did). More rain for south Texas and central Mexico looks inevitable. Pretty sure they’re still drying out from Alex down there.
Nothing like checking the BlackBerry and seeing not one, not two, but four areas of potential tropical development in the Atlantic. While the storm in the Caribbean (#2 on the map above) has the best shot at developing soon, the storm near the Lesser Antilles (storm 4) could see some slow development over the next few days and might be worth watching. Read tonight’s Tropical Weather Outlook for more. They said it was going to be a busy year — I suspect we’ll see a lot of outlooks like these over the next few months.
Record lows of 61 don’t normally characterize July 4th in the Lowcountry of South Carolina, but we’ll definitely take it. Have a safe and enjoyable day celebrating another year of our great experiment in self-government.