Tag Archives: fay

Charleston’s final words on Fay, plus two new storms

Fay, Fay, Fay. During these storm cycles I write so much about a storm that I honestly get sick and tired of the name and hope to never hear it again for another six years. (Typically, that’s the case.) While we’re writing the last chapter on Fay here in Charleston, it’ll be around our friends on the Gulf Coast for quite a while it looks like, as it treks toward a record fourth Florida landfall enroute to stalling out and continuing to dump tons and tons of rain on an area that’s had enough.

Yesterday brought the Lowcountry a tornado watch. While most of the tornadic activity was concentrated in Georgia, where there was a steady stream of warnings, there was a short-lived rotation in Hampton and Jasper counties prompting a warning. There weren’t any reports of such weather in Charleston, though.

Rain’s the story here, as it is in most other places (but certainly not to the degree that it is in Florida, where they’re getting it in feet). NWS record-keeping indicates a new record for rainfall downtown yesterday, with 2.16″ of rain. The College of Charleston weather station indicates 2.03″ of rain, most of which came down in a squall between 11am and noon.

We’re still contending with some scattered showers from Fay, but since it’s actually starting to move away a little bit, this should actually come to an end by tonight. In fact, I’ve seen some sun for the first time in a few days…it’s a nice change.

As Fay leaves Charleston, there’s two more items of interest in the Atlantic. Invest 94 has been on the radar for about a week as having potential for development, but it hasn’t gotten it together. A look at the models and its position shows that it’s going to maintain a fairly southerly track, so I don’t anticipate this one would be much of an issue for us here at home. Invest 95 may be something to watch as time goes on, at least track-wise: It’s at a latitude that seems to foreshadow some threat to the U.S. in the next couple of weeks, though there’s some significant divergence toward the end on where it’d end up. A strike against 95 is that its satellite presentation, or near-lack thereof. It’s got a little bit of convection, but the circulation is not well defined and it would have a long way to go before it became anything significant. It’s still worth peeking at every now and again, though, as conditions are generally favorable for slow growth…and it is still the peak of hurricane season, after all.

Fay’s third landfall on Florida occurring

Fay's third landfall as captured by Jacksonville long-range radar

Tropical Storm Fay is currently in the midst of its third landfall roughly in the St. Augustine area. It’s packing 60 MPH winds and is tiptoing its way toward the northwest at 2 MPH. Tropical Storm Warnings extend from roughly just south of the Space Coast to the Savannah River. Judging by the above image from Jacksonville’s long-range radar, Fay’s broad circulation has begun to cross the coast once more.

This is the third landfall for Florida. Parts of the state have started measuring their rainfall totals in feet, and flooding is definitely occurring. Fay’s slow movement ensures that it will be sticking around for quite a while; it’s not expected to be out of the state before Saturday.

Impact on Charleston

As you’ve likely noticed, there have been periodically heavy rain showers with some decent east winds at about 15-20 MPH, with gusts at the College of Charleston weather station topping out at 26 MPH yesterday. Surf has been a bit rough, and beach erosion has been occurring. Additionally, because of the prolonged east wind, tides are running a little higher than normal (1-2 feet) and thus downtown flooding is more likely to occur with a downpour. (High tide is expected at 11:40 AM.) Today’s Storm Prediction Center outlook keeps the tornado threat well south of here, so that should not be a problem as we go forward.

Best bets? Keep the umbrella handy and watch out for squalls causing localized downtown flooding during the day. It doesn’t look like Fay is going to do much more than soak us periodically. There’s a chance of higher gusts in squalls, but not a great one at this point.

You can keep an eye on the weather from the College’s station, in the heart of the peninsula.

NWS has begun issuing local statements on Fay

The National Weather Service in Charleston initiated local statements on Fay at about 7:00 tonight. Weather Underground is a good place to read these statements, as they do some processing to make them mixed case and thus a bit easier to read. The latest statement from NWS Charleston as of this writing came around 9:00 tonight. Continue reading

Fay strengthens over land, confounds forecasters

Every year or so, we get a reminder of just how unpredictable tropical systems can be. Tropical Storm Fay is proving to be that storm. It’s done very little to plan at this point; it surged more westward than expected; came onshore weaker than expected, and now it’s done what is usually unthinkable — it’s strengthened over land. Continue reading

Tonight’s Fay Briefing

Serious Business proper was preempted somewhat tonight by a briefing on Charleston Weather for Tropical Storm Fay. I’m planning on doing a few more videos as the storm gets closer; the interactive sessions on Ustream could be potentially useful as we continue to learn more about what Fay is going to do. Blog posts about Fay will continue and be tagged appropriately.

I recorded tonight’s briefing, and it’s now available online (though it may be outdated by tomorrow morning). Continue reading

Fay is Serious Business

Tonight’s Serious Business will be a two-parter; we’ll be starting out on Charleston Weather talking about the latest with Tropical Storm Fay, now a 55 MPH tropical storm starting to make a northward turn to take it over Cuba and into the Gulf. We’ll talk about where Fay is now, where it’s been, and where it might be headed and how it will impact our weather later in the week. (I’ll be simulcasting Charleston Weather inside of Serious Business, so feel free to watch over there.) The second part will be the usual Business — your usual potpourri discussion of…well, whatever tangent the audience manages to trip me on this week. We’ll DO IT LIVE tonight around 8:30 (might be a few minutes late for technical considerations) at http://jaredisserious.biz.